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Arsenal logo
Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Everton logo

Arsenal
0 - 1
Everton

FT(HT: 0-0)
Leno (76' og.)
Partey (38'), Allan (55'), Holgate (63'), Delph (68')

Preview: Arsenal vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh from announcing their intention to withdraw from the proposed European Super League, Arsenal will continue their Premier League campaign at home to top-four chasing Everton on Friday evening.

The Gunners are currently ninth in the table, three points behind eighth-placed Everton, who still have ambitions of finishing in the Champions League positions this term despite a disappointing run of form.


Match preview

Arsenal's Eddie Nketiah celebrates scoring against Fulham in the Premier League on April 18, 2021© Reuters

The proposed European Super League appeared to come crashing down on Tuesday night as all six Premier League clubs confirmed their withdrawal; the Gunners will now be keen to put an incredible few days behind them when they resume their league campaign at home to top-four chasing Everton on Friday evening.

Mikel Arteta's side will bring a four-game unbeaten run into the contest, including an impressive 4-0 victory away to Slavia Prague in the second leg of their Europa League quarter-final on April 15, which set up a semi-final with Villarreal, with the first leg due to take place next week.

Arsenal were held to a 1-1 draw by Fulham in their last league game, though, and needed a last-gasp equaliser from Eddie Nketiah to secure a share of the spoils against their relegation-threatened opponents.

The Gunners are currently ninth in the table, having picked up just 46 points from their 32 league games this term; they are nine points off fourth-placed Chelsea but sit just four points behind seventh-placed Tottenham Hotspur as the race for European positions continues.

Arteta's side have won six, drawn four and lost six of their 16 home league games this term, which is a record that will hand Everton confidence, particularly as the Toffees recorded a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture at Goodison Park back in December.

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on March 1, 2021© Reuters

Everton, though, are currently on a run of six games without a victory in all competitions, while they have not been victorious in the Premier League since beating West Bromwich Albion at the start of March.

Carlo Ancelotti's side have seen their top-four hopes take a huge hit in recent weeks, picking up just three points from their last five league fixtures courtesy of draws in their last three encounters.

Indeed, back-to-back draws with Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion were followed by a 2-2 against Tottenham Hotspur on Friday, with Spurs securing a share of the spoils courtesy of Harry Kane's second of the match in the 68th minute.

The Toffees, as mentioned, are currently eighth in the table, six points behind fourth-placed Chelsea but now with a game in hand over the Blues, who dropped points at home to Brighton on Tuesday evening.

A win for the Merseyside giants on Friday would put them firmly in the top-four picture, and they have been impressive on their travels this term, boasting the fourth-best away record in the Premier League.

Arsenal Premier League form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Arsenal form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D

Everton Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D

Everton form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Arsenal's Alexandre Lacazette celebrates scoring against Sheffield United in the Premier League on April 11, 2021© Reuters

Arsenal will again be without the services of David Luiz and Kieran Tierney through injury, while a hamstring problem is likely to keep Alexandre Lacazette on the sidelines for the next few weeks.

Martin Odegaard could be back in the squad following a foot injury, but there will not be a return for Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who was recently treated in hospital after contracting malaria.

Gabriel Martinelli could start through the middle as Lacazette and Aubameyang are both unavailable, although Nketiah, who scored against Fulham, is another option.

Arteta is likely to make changes from the side that started against the Cottagers last time out, with Nicolas Pepe and Thomas Partey both in line for starts.

As for Everton, Abdoulaye Doucoure and Jean-Philippe Gbamin are still unavailable for selection, but Ancelotti has revealed that he otherwise has a full squad to choose from on Friday.

Indeed, Fabian Delph, Yerry Mina and Bernard are available for the trip to the Emirates Stadium, while Andre Gomes is back from a thigh problem, and the Toffees will be boosted by the return of Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has been struggling with an abductor problem.

The Toffees could go to a back three to make room for Calvert-Lewin's return, with Seamus Coleman potentially returning to the starting XI, allowing Ben Godfrey to move into a central position once again.

Tom Davies will be under pressure from Gomes should the Portuguese prove his fitness in the build up to kickoff, but the former might retain his position in the middle alongside fit-again Allan.

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Ryan; Bellerin, Holding, Gabriel, Xhaka; Thomas, Ceballos; Pepe, Smith Rowe, Saka; Martinelli

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Keane, Godfrey, Holgate; Coleman, Davies, Allan, Digne; Rodriguez; Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin


SM words green background

We say: Arsenal 1-2 Everton

Everton's away form this season has been excellent, recording nine wins from 15 Premier League fixtures on their travels. Arsenal, on the other hand, have found it difficult to show consistency at the Emirates Stadium, and we fancy Ancelotti's side to collect a huge three points on Friday courtesy of a narrow win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Arsenal vs Everton

Arsenal
45.5%
Draw
20.2%
Everton
34.3%
446
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Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang celebrates with the match ball after scoring a hat-trick on February 14, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
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9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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